Monday, March 23, 2020

Entry 503: Five Short, Pointless Anecdotes For Times Of Quarantine

One
Once my friend J was walking down the street.  Some other friends of mine, R & A, were on the balcony of a nearby apartment, and they threw a water balloon at J, just goofing around.  The water balloon landed in the pocket of J’s shorts and didn’t break.

Two
Around the same time in life, we were doing a fantasy football draft, and I called this guy M, who lived out of town, to get his picks over the phone, and when I dialed my old flip-phone the outgoing message read, “Calling Virginia.”  Virginia* was a very recent ex-girlfriend, whom I definitely did not want to call, so I hung up immediately.  I checked the number carefully and called again.  Again, it read, “Calling Virginia.”  Again, I immediately hung up.  But I had a minor freak out that Virginia would see two missed calls from me, and think I was obsessing about her or something.  I had a friend call M from his phone instead.

Those calls gnawed at me all night, the way things do with fresh breakups, until finally, at the end of our draft, M, on my friend’s speaker phone, said, “By the way, why do I have two missed calls from DG on my phone?”

“So I was actually calling you?" I said.  "It said it was calling Virginia.”

“Yeah,” M replied, “because you were.  I live in Norfolk, dumbass.  Your were calling a Virginia area code.”

I’ve never been so relieved to be a dumbass.

*Her name wasn't actually Virginia; I changed it in such a way that it still works with the story.


Three
In college, my friend A lived with this kid C, who was a nice enough guy, but kind of a tool.  He would say things that were banal and obvious and act like they were genius witticisms.  He had more than a bit of Michael Scott from The Office in him.  I didn't know him very well -- I only hung out with him two or three times -- but A would mention him from time to time.  Once A made an off-hand comment that C was listening to Kid Rock, and when A asked him why, C said, "I love Kid Rock.  He's white trash and he knows it!"

Months later I was over at their apartment for a little get-together, and C put on Kid Rock.  He waited for a lull in the conversation, and then he loudly announced to the entire room, "I love Kid Rock.  You know why?"

And I said equally loudly, "Because he's white trash and he knows it?"

He looked at me, with an expression that was 10% annoyance and 90% utter confusion.

Four
Along those same lines -- the lines of remember weird things -- I once sat next to a girl in freshman literature class -- one time, not like everyday of the semester -- whose name was Autumn Hoff.  I know this because I happened to see her name on a paper she was handing in.  I didn't sit by her again  But for years after that I would see her around campus, and say in my head, "Hey, it's Autumn Hoff."

That's it; that's the entire story.  I never spoke to Autumn Hoff.  I wonder what she's doing today.

Five
Once these two guys at my junior high were play-wrestling in the hall, and one of them took down the other one and gave him a spot of rug burn on his head.  The guy with the burned head then sprayed deodorant on it, as if it was disinfectant.

Until next time...

Friday, March 13, 2020

Entry 502: When Everything Shut Down

DC was one of the last major school districts to suspend classes, but we got word last night that they are shutting down for the next two weeks at least.  I understand.  I also would have been fine with them continuing classes.  Kids don't seem to be bothered as much as adults by Covid-19 for some reason (although they can still get sick and they can be asymptomatic carriers).  And closing schools can be counterproductive.  We still need certain people to leave the house for work everyday -- food still needs to be produced and delivered, utilities need to run, and of course healthcare providers need to be there for us.  If these people have to stay home to watch their children then that's bad.  So, I'm not totally down with closing schools.  Then again, I'm also not an epidemiologist, so... take that for what it's worth.

I guess we are just going to have to hunker down for a while.  It sucks, and it seems extreme -- cancelling everything -- but it's probably not.  The problem is that there are no real compromises or effective half-measures to take.  We either shut everything down, or the disease will run roughshod over us.  Millions of people will get sick and thousands will die.  This isn't freaking out or fear-mongering; this is just the harsh reality.  Getting sick wouldn't be disastrous for everybody; it wouldn't even be disastrous for most people.  If you are a hale, young(ish) person with decent work benefits, like myself, you would probably be down for the count for a few days and then you would get better and carry on with you life.  But if before that you were at, say, a basketball game with 20,000 other people, well, now you probably passed it on to a bunch of other people, and they might not be as fit as you and missing work might not be as easy for them.  It's incumbent on the strong to help the vulnerable by not acting as vectors.

The fucked up thing is that it might not even work -- we might get hit hard in spite of this.  But I still think it's worth trying.  And there are degrees of success.  My understanding is that a lot of these measures are being done to slow the spread of infection.  Overloading our health system is a major worry right now, and so anything we can do to slow things down is a plus.  We don't want to turn into Italy where healthcare professionals are essentially triaging patients like they're trench-warfare soldiers.  If you think people are freaking out now, wait until we start hearing stories of grandpas dying while in line to see a doctor.

Part of the problem is that we don't know how to freak out right.  Like, if we would have freaked out to this degree a month ago, we would be better off now.  I'm just as guilty of this as anyone.  Covid-19 wasn't even really on my radar until about two days ago.  Then everything started getting cancelled (including the ACPT, at which I was supposed to be an official), and it was like, "Oh, shit, this is no joke."  But I should have been saying that a long time ago.  Of course, it would help if we didn't have, literally, the worst possible person to deal with this type of thing in the White House at the moment.  I mean, I doubt any president could have totally handled this correctly, but at least we could have had one who didn't actively make things worse by being a disingenuous moron -- excuse me, a disingenuous fucking moron (h/t Rex Tillerson).  Oh well, at least the Libetards are so totally owned right now.

Also, what's with all the damn hoarding?  This isn't a natural disaster that is wiping out roads and infrastructure.  I don't see any reason why the supply chain of toilet paper is suddenly going to be halted.  I think at least one person will be healthy enough to drive the Charmin truck to Safeway.  People are putting up pics of their local supermarkets, and they look like something out of an anti-Communism pamphlet.  It's like the Soviet Union in 1982.  Even S got in on it a little bit.  She did an Instacart order a few days ago (before things really went nuts, thankfully), and she got three bags of bread, even though we already have one.  I asked her why, and she said "stocking up."  (The apocalypse will have toast!)  That doesn't even make sense, because bread goes bad pretty quickly.  I mean, we can freeze it, sure, but even then it gets freezer burn.  Why wouldn't you at least get canned food if you want to hoard?  We are out of black beans, anyway.

Alright, that's all I got for today.  Be safe, be sensible, don't hoard, watch some Netflix (I recommend Cheer), try not to murder your family members.

Until next time...

Friday, March 6, 2020

Entry 501: Crocodile DG's Endorsement

With just two plausible contenders left in the Democratic primary race, I've decided the time has come for me to make my official endorsement: Joe Biden.

I don't love either of the choices (I never developed strong feelings for anybody in the entire field), but I also don't have a big problem with either of them.  I'm blue no matter who, which everybody should be, not as an everlasting rule, but as a pragmatic course of action for now.  I'm basing my decision solely on who I think has the best odds of winning in November.  I think it's Biden.  I could be wrong.  But I could be wrong if I picked Bernie too.  As I've been saying from the get-go, nobody really knows anything, and future events like this are impossible to predict with precision.  I can't see the future, so I'm doing the best I can, based on the available information -- what else can I do?



Here's my rationale...

Let's start with the case against Biden, which is by corollary a case for Bernie.  In this version of events, Biden is a repeat of 2016 -- a tired, "establishment" candidate, who doesn't excite anybody and will fail to turn out voters.  As a friend on Facebook said, "Biden is just a male, senile version of Hillary.  We already lost that race.  Can we just not?"

I completely understand my friend's apprehension.  I feel it myself even to some degree.  But I don't think the premise of his argument totally holds up.

1) Biden ≠ Hillary.  This is an immediate consequence of the fact Nobody = Hillary, but Hillary.  We've simply never had a candidate like Hillary Clinton, and we never will.  Think about all the things her name evokes -- the positives and the negatives.  It's an entirely different set of emotions from Joe Biden.  A lot of people found her very unlikable as a candidate -- in part because of sexism, but definitely not entirely (there's also, for example, the fact her husband is a total lech).  I just don't think Biden carries the same baggage as she does.  As a lifelong Democrat I know once said, "I'll never vote for another Clinton or another Bush again."

Also, she was completely dogged by the media because of her stupid email scandal, and it was announced by the head of the FBI, in one of the worst political miscalculations ever, that she was under investigation a week before the election.  Some analysis by FiveThirtyEight shows that that might have been enough to swing the whole damn thing.

I'm sure Trump will try to find something like this to pin on Biden, probably the Ukraine thing with his son Hunter, but I'm not sure it will stick.  For one thing, bringing up Ukraine will remind everybody of the improper actions that led to the impeachment trial, and the name Trump is practically synonymous with nepotism.  (I mean, hello, Jared and Ivanka.)  Even "senile" Joe Biden should be able to parry such attacks and hopefully even throw a few counter-strikes.

2) Even if Biden isn't a much stronger candidate than Hillary, just because we already lost that race once doesn't mean we will necessarily lose it again.  The 2016 election caught a lot of people by surprise, and I think that might have affected the result.  Democrats probably weren't as aggressive as they should've been in the Midwest, and some potential blue voters might have gotten complacent and sat it out or voted for a third party.  I've always felt if it was best two out of three, Clinton would have won, but that's just my gut feeling.  Regardless, I think the larger point holds: a similar set of conditions to 2016, while obviously not ideal, is not the certain death sentence for Dems a lot of people think it to be.

Implicit in my friend's comparison of Biden to Hillary, and made explicit by many Sanders' supporters (and Sanders himself), is that Biden represents the "establishment," and that the people -- the real working-class people, not the billionaire fat cats who want to buy control of the party -- don't want this type of candidate, and they want somebody like Bernie instead.  The problem with this argument is that it is utter horseshit, and it is my least favorite thing about Bernie and his supporters.  They occupy an alternate reality when it comes to Bernie.  They can't view him objectively and honestly.  They can't accept the real reason he's not the preferred candidate among most Democratic voters: They don't like his policies; they don't like his politics; and many don't like him.

That's it.  That's the reason.  He's too far left for too many people, and he's obnoxious about it.  Everybody knows Bernie; everybody hears Bernie; everybody understands his positions; he's been a major figure for four years; media of all stripes have covered him extensively; he's been a major player in all the debates.  It's a credit to him that he rose up from relatively obscurity to legitimate presidential hopeful through sheer force of will (and shouting).  He got his message to the voters, and a lot of voters are rejecting it.  He does worse than Biden among the working class, his so-called people.  This is what many Bernie supporters cannot accept.  They want democracy only when it works in their favor; when it doesn't they turn into pouting, truth-averse, take-my-ball-and-go-home little babies.  If I wanted to be in a political party run by people like that, I'd become a Republican.  It's terrible politics.  I know a lot of Elizabeth Warren supporters who are so turned off by BernieWorld that he's not  their second choice, even though the two are very closely aligned ideologically. 

By the way, I'm saying this as somebody who personally likes a lot of Bernie's policies.  I've been to Denmark before.  It's nice.  People are happy there.  I like the idea of everybody paying more to get more.  I would gladly vote for raising my own taxes and giving up my private health insurance, if it meant single payer healthcare for everybody.  All other things equal, I would sign-up for a Bernie Sanders presidency in a heartbeat.  But all other things aren't equal, and if Bernie is not what most people want -- and it seems he isn't -- then we need to stick together and move on.

Okay, now, let me make the case explicitly for Biden.

He's turning out voters.  Super Tuesday was bigger than it was in 2016, and Biden was the undisputed winner.  He won in states without even really trying.  I heard David Plotz of Slate Political Gabfest aver that this was only because of fear of losing in November and that nobody is really a Joe Biden fan.  To that I say: yeah, so.  If Biden is the anit-Trump avatar everybody rallies around at election time, so be it.

Plus, it's not correct to say Biden doesn't have an real supporters.  From the moment he entered the race, he was the preferred candidate among black voters, particularly older black voters, by a significant margin.  He's "Uncle Joe."  People are comfortable with him.  It's true, he doesn't have a little army of hardcore stans the way Sanders does, but so what?  Your vote doesn't count double because you really, really want somebody to be president.

Here's the other big thing Biden has going in his favor: He fits the profile of the type of candidate who won "purple" elections in the 2018 midterm.  The Dems didn't win the House on the strength of super left progressives winning safe blue districts; they won because a lot of moderates (men and women) won swing districts.  That's who voters turned out for.  It seems to me 2018 is a more valuable data point (because it's actually many data points) than 2016.

And that's what it comes down to for me: The revolution Bernie is promising just doesn't seem to be coming.  There are no troves of new, enthusiastic, young voters.  If there were, Bernie wouldn't have gotten whupped so badly on Super Tuesday.  What we have instead, I think, are a bunch of tired, stressed out people who just want to return things to normal.  And Joe Biden, for all his flaw and foibles, is a pretty good candidate for that.  So, he's my pick.

Until next time...